Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.519444 0.604601 0.698909 0.811045 0.940699 1.085863 1.260699
2025-02-23 0.376371 0.489305 0.628246 0.811510 1.046683 1.338169 1.726817
2025-03-02 0.296399 0.416963 0.576810 0.803739 1.117170 1.534421 2.131823
2025-03-09 0.245799 0.368820 0.542186 0.803492 1.186592 1.726908 2.546258
2025-03-16 0.201334 0.319655 0.495526 0.774815 1.206084 1.845577 2.864763
2025-03-23 0.185987 0.310325 0.503996 0.825951 1.346170 2.151994 3.493095
2025-03-30 0.158261 0.276641 0.469283 0.803507 1.366864 2.275674 3.850205
2025-04-06 0.134999 0.246456 0.435388 0.776475 1.374417 2.376021 4.177106
2025-04-13 0.116269 0.221118 0.405793 0.751871 1.381277 2.473335 4.506475
2025-04-20 0.105266 0.207968 0.395435 0.759144 1.443570 2.670428 5.029135
2025-04-27 0.100103 0.204925 0.402734 0.799102 1.569005 2.991451 5.808858
2025-05-04 0.093442 0.197963 0.401624 0.822602 1.665593 3.268906 6.536495
2025-05-11 0.085712 0.188049 0.394066 0.833589 1.741359 3.519407 7.249401
2025-05-18 0.077664 0.176368 0.381565 0.833164 1.794649 3.733029 7.916212
2025-05-25 0.069939 0.164233 0.366466 0.825155 1.830858 3.915663 8.539514
2025-06-01 0.063811 0.154749 0.355713 0.824900 1.883009 4.135732 9.264323
2025-06-08 0.056197 0.140720 0.333147 0.795476 1.867622 4.211249 9.686423
2025-06-15 0.055196 0.142269 0.345894 0.847944 2.041812 4.714145 11.103786
2025-06-22 0.049308 0.130987 0.327411 0.824916 2.039265 4.825185 11.648658
2025-06-29 0.043827 0.119928 0.308026 0.797180 2.022047 4.900548 12.118477
2025-07-06 0.039113 0.110172 0.290573 0.771935 2.007663 4.980471 12.607142
2025-07-13 0.036569 0.105856 0.286253 0.779398 2.075336 5.262271 13.615401
2025-07-20 0.035816 0.106369 0.294451 0.820396 2.233102 5.779267 15.261815